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TC Energy Columbia Gas Pipeline Expansion Advances as US Power Demand Soars

by Justin @TradesBuilt
1 May 2026
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TC Energy Corporation has approved a US$1.5 billion expansion of its Columbia Gas Transmission pipeline system in the United States, marking another major North American gas infrastructure investment aimed at serving increasing power demand from utilities, industrial users, LNG export and energy-intensive digital infrastructure.

The project, named the Appalachia Supply Project, will expand capacity on the Columbia Gas network by up to 0.8 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), with an in-service target of 2030. The sanction also comes after the Calgary-headquartered pipeline operator reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter 2026 earnings, reinforcing management’s confidence in long-term gas demand.

TC Energy Columbia Gas Pipeline Expansion Advances as US Power Demand Soars

TC Energy Columbia Gas Pipeline Expansion: Project Overview

The expansion is backed by a 20-year take-or-pay agreement with a utility customer, significantly de-risking the project from a revenue perspective while aligning with TC Energy’s capital strategy. According to management, the project could ultimately be scaled to 2.0 Bcf/d through future expansions, creating a repeatable growth platform along a high-demand corridor serving emerging gas-fired power generation markets in the US Heartland.

The approval also follows exceptionally strong market response to TC Energy’s earlier Columbia open season, which reportedly received bids equivalent to three times the proposed capacity, indicating robust customer appetite for incremental gas transportation capacity amid grid expansion, data center growth, electrification and coal-to-gas switching.

Project Fact Sheet

Project name: Appalachia Supply Project

Developer: TC Energy Corporation

Pipeline system: Columbia Gas Transmission

Location: US Heartland corridor

Investment value: US$1.5 billion

Capacity: 0.8 Bcf/d initial, scalable to 2.0 Bcf/d

Commercial structure: 20-year take-or-pay contract

Customer: Undisclosed investment-grade utility

Target operation date: 2030

Project type: Brownfield gas pipeline expansion

Expected build multiple: 7.3x

Ongoing construction at LNG pipeline

Appalachia Supply Project at the Center of Growing Brownfield Trend in North America

The Appalachia Supply Project reflects a broader strategic pivot among North American midstream operators toward brownfield and in-corridor pipeline expansions. These generally offer lower regulatory risk, faster permitting pathways and stronger economics than greenfield projects. Rather than pursuing entirely new transmission systems, companies such as TC Energy are leveraging existing rights-of-way, compression assets and interconnections to incrementally expand throughput.

This trend is being reinforced by three overlapping structural shifts.

First, North America is experiencing sustained LNG-led natural gas demand growth as new export facilities ramp up across the Gulf Coast. Second, utilities are increasingly sanctioning gas-fired generation to support grid reliability as renewable penetration rises and coal capacity retires. Third, electricity demand from AI infrastructure, hyperscale data centers and crypto mining operations is emerging as a new major load driver requiring dispatchable baseload generation – much of which is currently being met through natural gas.

For TC Energy, the project strengthens the long-term competitiveness of the Columbia Gas Transmission pipeline system by extending its reach into premium growth markets. Management has also emphasized that its integrated North American footprint is becoming increasingly valuable as customers seek flexible, scalable and lower-risk infrastructure solutions. Industrial demand in the US Heartland is also expected to increase as the region continues to attract heavy investment with projects such as the Cerilon Gas-to-Liquids (GTL) plant in North Dakota.

Project Cost

The Appalachia Supply Project carries an estimated capital cost of US$1.5 billion and is expected to deliver a build multiple of approximately 7.3x. This positioning it within TC Energy’s targeted return framework. Additionally, the project has a long-term utility offtake agreement. This limits merchant exposure and enhances earnings potential.

The approval was announced alongside TC Energy’s Q1 2026 results, which showed:

  • Comparable earnings of C$1.0 billion
  • Comparable EBITDA of C$3.1 billion, up 14% year-on-year
  • Segmented earnings up 10%
  • Adjusted EPS of C$0.99, narrowly ahead of analyst expectations of C$0.98

Segment performance was particularly strong across:

  • US natural gas pipelines: +10%
  • Canadian natural gas pipelines: +3%
  • Mexico natural gas pipelines: +85.4%

This financial strength supports TC Energy’s broader capital expenditure outlook of C$6.0-6.5 billion for 2026. Management is also signaling growing visibility toward additional project sanctions later in the decade.

Ongoing construction at LNG pipeline

Project Team

EPC contractors and engineering partners have not yet been publicly disclosed. Likely project participants include internal TC Energy engineering teams alongside major US pipeline contractors, compression specialists, environmental consultants and permitting advisors.

Known project stakeholders currently include:

Project Developer: TC Energy Corporation

Pipeline System: Columbia Gas Transmission

Utility Offtaker: Undisclosed investment-grade utility

Regulatory Authorities:

Potential contractor categories include:

  • Pipeline engineering consultants
  • Compression equipment suppliers
  • Metering and instrumentation contractors
  • Environmental permitting consultants
  • Civil and ROW contractors

TC Energy Columbia Gas Pipeline Expansion Project: What to Expect

The project is expected to enter detailed engineering, permitting and stakeholder engagement phases over the next 12-24 months before major construction mobilization.

Additionally, because the project is using an existing transmission corridor, execution risk is materially lower than for greenfield infrastructure. This improves probability of schedule adherence while preserving capital efficiency.

Longer term, Appalachia Supply could also become a platform asset rather than a standalone expansion. TC Energy has explicitly indicated scalability up to 2.0 Bcf/d, suggesting further phases could be sanctioned if customer demand continues to build along the corridor. This makes the project important not only for immediate contracted capacity, but also for establishing expandable infrastructure in a structurally advantaged region.

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Justin @TradesBuilt

Justin @TradesBuilt

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